Interesting comparison on equity position…

Financial Update, Lenders

Something interesting to observe in differences between the US and Canada equity positions…

By Garry Marr, Financial PostApril 23, 2009

Canadians continue to have more than two-thirds more equity in their home than Americans, according to a new survey.

The study for the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals shows Canadian homeowners have, on average, 72% equity in their house, compared with 43% for Americans.

“It is a very positive part of the Canadian housing story,” said Jim Murphy, chief executive of Toronto-based CAAMP. “Canadians pay down their mortgages. Canadians are just more conservative than Americans.”

The study also found that Canadians have dramatically reduced the amount of equity they are taking out of their home. A year ago 22% of Canadians had accessed the equity in their home through measures such as lines of credit. Today that is down to 15%.

“This speaks to the whole thing about people belt-tightening,” said Mr. Murphy.

Despite the drop in prices in the Canadians marketplace, only 2% of Canadian mortgage holders have negative equity, in which the value of their mortgage is higher than the value of their home.

About the only new risk Canadians seem to be taking on is longer amortizations. While 83% of Canadians have an amortizations of 25 years or less, the number with 30-year and 35-year amortizations is rising. In the past six months, 46% of new mortgages have been for amortization of more than 25 years.

“I don’t think it’s a worry because [Canadians] are paying down their mortgages,” said Will Dunning, chief economist with CAAMP, noting the percentage of Canadians in arrears on their mortgage is rising but the total is still 0.38% of all mortgage holders. “That’s the middle of historical averages.”

Mr. Dunning said the study also indicates that subprime mortgages are likely a very small percentage of the Canadian marketplace. Only 2% of all Canadian mortgages have interest rates of 8% or higher — the low-water level for what would constitute the rate on a sub prime mortgage.

The survey did show that Canadians are also taking advantage of continued drops in interest rates by increasingly buying into variablerate products. CAAMP says 28% of Canadians have variable-rate products that are tied to prime. The number is rising, with 36% of new mortgage orientation in the past 12 months going into variablerate products.

With the Bank of Canada’s decision to lower rates another 25 basis points and its commitment to not change rates for another year, Canadians are expected to continue to take advantage of a record-low prime rates, which are 2.25% at most financial institutions.

© Copyright (c) National Post

 

Deeper recession than anticipated means long term LOW rates…

Financial Update

Ok, so the recession is officially “deeper than what was expected”.  Where does that leave us?  We’ve moved interest rates almost as low as they can go…the key lending rate - cut in half, the prime rate - moved another quarter point downward to 2.25%.  I write this one day before the government announces their “quantitative easing” program…so we’ll see what that brings in terms of ‘economic relief’.

The national economists already said that the banks have virtually nothing left as far as ammunition to massage the confidence of consumers.  The homeowners that CAN take advantage of these low rates, WILL do so by refinancing or by renewing early on their mortgage.  But the spotlight has been on the “new/first time home buyer”.  They are the ones that will fuel and strengthen the economy.  This somehow does not seem to be happening at a rate that has too much of an impact…or so it seems.

According to the news cast last night on CTV (thanks for the Canada First Mortgage plug by the way CTV…), it’s a split in opinion; the consumers love it, while the banks and economists see the overall as concerning…

http://tinyurl.com/df9weg

It’s not a bad thing…it’s an ‘adjustment’ thing.

Lenders

Ok…so we know it’s harder to get a mortgage these days.  Now-a-days, lenders and insurers want to know why you missed a payment a year ago, or 2 yrs. ago!  Sometimes it’s easy to forget to make a payment here and there, but when you “forget” to make the payment two months; THREE months in a row, they want to know what’s up!  The lending guidelines have definitely tightening the reigns…there’s no question.  A year ago, a missed payment or two would have been overlooked by many and discarded as, “ahh-well…at least they are “current” on all their debts NOW.”  Nope.  There’s more reason for lenders and insurers to clamp down on lending after the lax guidelines of yesteryear.

Just when you thought it was getting hard, Genworth (competitor to CMHC) decided that they are going to make things a little tougher.  Effective April 18th, if you want to refinance your home (between 90.01% - 95% of the value of your home), your minimum “allowable” credit score is going from 650, to 700.  A refinance on your home (between 85.01% - 90%) will require a 660 score; this is up from 600.

Also, currently if your credit score is above 680 - you are allowed up to 44% of your household income to go towards your monthly financial obligations (like credit cards, loans, etc.) and mortgage payments (Principle, Interest, Heat, and Taxes) - a.k.a; Total Debt Service (TDS).  Come April 18th, the total percentage allowable to go towards TDS will be 42%.

Business for self individuals?  It gets tougher.  Minimum down payment required is 10%.  This is up from a minimum of 5% down.  Credit score still needs to be impeccable minimum of 700.

At present, CMHC has not come up with any changes to their programs…but time will tell.  Usually when one moves, the others at least LISTEN really closely.  Am I worried about these changes?  I have to be honest…  At first glance when I read this, I thought - damn…that closes the doors on a lot of potential customers.  BUT, I can’t help but notice that the mortgage industry is simply taking a step back, and practising some very basic lending guidelines that were in effect years ago.  We have to remember that it wasn’t long ago that we had all these (what seemed like) ”rights” on the mortgage front.  We have to remind ourselves that getting a mortgage is still a priveledge…not a right.  We have to prove ourselves to banks…maybe a little more than what we had to prove ourselves with them a couple of years ago.  I know, I know….I can hear you screaming now; “you can’t just give all these allowances, and then take them away just like that!!”  Ummm….yes they can.  Let’s flip it over on it’s back for a second…

Let’s say YOU are the bank.  It’s YOUR money.  YOU have to make the decision on who to give a mortgage to, and who not to give a mortgage (your money) to.  After being fairly easy with your money and allowing mortgages on “lighter” guidelines, you found yourself losing a lot of your money.  Wouldn’t you want to tighten your belt too?

We know the old adage “one bad apple spoils the bunch”, right?  It’s not much different.

So, at the end of the day what we are left with is mortgage guidelines that look a little retro.  It’s not a bad thing….it’s an adjustment thing.

Sincerely,
Dan Mass, AMP

dan@canadafirstmortgage.com

403-294-0033

A bit of a forecast?

Financial Update

The following was posted by Bloomberg Canada…(http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601082&sid=ayuaf8wJ8YCA&refer=canada)

Canada Quantitative Easing to Be ‘Gentler’ Than U.S., CIBC Says

April 6 (Bloomberg) — Canada will adopt a “gentler” form of quantitative easing than the U.S. has because of its explicit inflation targeting policies and healthier banks, said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce.

Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney will adopt so-called quantitative or credit easing within six months of announcing guidelines on April 23, Shenfeld said in a telephone interview from Toronto today. The central bank may purchase corporate debt — such as short-term commercial paper — and government bonds that mature in three to seven years, he said.

The Bank of Canada has almost run out of room for using interest-rate cuts to stimulate an economy in recession, after it lowered its key borrowing rate to 0.5 percent on March 3.

Policy makers may be able to boost the economy by purchasing securities to revive debt markets, without using the transactions to inject newly created money into the economy. “It might not be true quantitative easing,” Shenfeld said.

Under quantitative easing, asset purchases can be paid for with new money created by the central bank. The extra cash is supposed to encourage banks to expand lending to consumers and businesses.

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s extraordinary policies are reflected in its balance sheet, which has more than doubled over the past year. The Fed has taken on assets including mortgage securities, corporate debt and now long-term Treasuries under its latest policy decision last month.

“In Canada, the banking system isn’t as broken and therefore a lighter hand will be required,” Shenfeld said.

The Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target will also limit how far the central bank is willing to go to boost demand, Shenfeld said.

‘All-out War’

“Only in the unlikely event that Canadian core inflation goes negative on a sustained basis would we expect the Bank to launch an all-out war on deflation that also pumped up money growth,” he said.

The core inflation rate, the consumer price index excluding eight volatile products, will slow to a 0.8 percent annual pace in the fourth quarter, he predicts.

Governor Carney said at an April 1 speech that publishing guidelines doesn’t mean using extraordinary policies is “preordained,” and any new steps will be consistent with the inflation target.

The Bank of Canada will probably keep its benchmark lending rate unchanged at 0.5 percent through the first quarter of next year, opting first to scale back its quantitative or credit easing policies when the economy picks up again, Shenfeld also said. Gross domestic product will contract until the fourth quarter when it will expand at a 2.5 percent pace, he said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Greg Quinn in Ottawa at gquinn1@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: April 6, 2009 13:31 EDT

Sincerely,

Dan Mass, AMP

dan@canadafirstmortgage.com

Lender Competition

Lenders

As this past year may have you believe that getting a mortgage is more difficult (yes…it certainly is), that doesn’t stop the lenders competing for “pole position”.  Yes, it’s has been a progressive (past) year of mortgage product pinching, mortgage lender dissolving (aka; sub-prime), economic spiralling uncertainty…but let’s look at what’s happening lately…

Within a very short period of time, many lenders have realized that there is great business to be had in this market and have set extremely attractive mortgage pricing in place.  Why?  Because they can…  In the meantime - brokers watch, listen, and advise.  As mortgage associates, we have been programmed to determine the possibilities of mortgage options for each of our customers. 

We’re looking at a brisk Spring and Summer in terms of the housing market here in Alberta and surrounding provinces simply because of softening house prices, and the ever low interest rates across the board.  This is creating a hunger for the First Time Homebuyer - the Investor - or simply the folks sitting on the fence!  It’s all good news in terms of a market that was simply at a stand still not too long ago.

A handful of lenders that we deal with have aligned “special programs” with us.  This means price dropping to the extreme to get your business.  We are simply providing great rates to customers OAC…no charge for these special discounts.

If you’re thinking about it…do it.  Gear up.  Get that pre-approval to see exactly what that means to YOU.  The lenders are hungry for your business and they are showing the brokers that they WANT IT!

If you have any questions…please don’t hesitate to let us know!!

Sincerely,

Dan Mass, AMP

dan@canadafirstmortgage.com

403-294-0033

Financial Update (March 31st)

Financial Update

Markets tumble as automaker bailout plans are rejected

Who’s steering the auto industry now? See article at bottom

 

·          TSX -224.84 the rally that has sent equities surging for most of this month ground to a halt amid a jolt of worry over GM and Chrysler may be forced into bankruptcy after the U.S. government said the plans they’ve submitted are not acceptable to receive more federal bailout money.

·          DOW -254.16.

·          Dollar -1.56c to 79.25USD

·          Oil -$3.97 to $48.41US per barrel.

·         Gold -$7.70 to $915.50USD per ounce

·         Canadian 5 yr bond yields -.09bps to 1.79

·          http://www.financialpost.com/markets/market_data/money-yields-can_us.html

 

 

Mortgage brokers find a larger niche

Buyers Market; Field widens as competition from banks fades away

Derek Sankey, Canwest News Service  Published: Monday, March 30, 2009

More than a decade ago, Bob Alexander was working as a professional accountant when he walked into a bank to get a mortgage. When he got turned down, he was completely baffled.

“My friend told me I should go see a broker,” Mr. Alexander says. It was a perception that was prevalent at the time: Mortgage brokers were seen as the place you went when the banks turned you down.

Mr. Alexander went to see a broker, secured a mortgage and bought a home. He was so intrigued by this often-misunderstood field that he decided to switch careers and become a broker himself.

“Ten or 15 years ago, mortgage brokers used to be the lenders of last resort,” says Jim Murphy, president and chief executive of the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals (CAAMP), the organization that certifies the AMP designation.

“The mortgage broker channel has grown enormously,” Mr. Murphy says. “I think the consumer sees it in a much more positive light.”

In fact, about 30% of all mortgages in Canada today are secured through mortgage brokers, according to a study from CAAMP. There are 3,800 certified professionals with the AMP designation working across Canada.

When CAAMP introduced the certification four years ago, Mr. Alexander– whose been a broker for eight years now — decided to earn his designation.

Banks used to compete directly with brokers, using their own sales forces to go out and source new leads. The brokers, meanwhile, would charge their own clients a fee to find them a mortgage.

Now, most banks have chopped those sales forces and instead enjoy a more mutually beneficial deal with brokers, who no longer charge the client a fee.

Mr. Alexander, like other AMP brokers, provides his services free to the client. The lending institution pays him a finder’s fee based on the size and type of the mortgage he secures for his clients.

“Lenders out there realize it was actually more efficient to get rid of their in-house sales force and use an independent person like myself to source their leads,” says Mr. Alexander, who works for Canada Mortgage Direct in Calgary. “The finder’s fee I’m paid is roughly the same across all lenders, so I’m not incented to take you to Lender A over Lender B.”

No longer are brokers seen as the last resort, but just another player in the market working to find you a competitive mortgage. It’s important for clients to know they’re dealing with someone qualified and experienced.

The AMP designation requires two years of industry experience, an entry-level certification course plus 10 hours of continuing education every 12-month cycle to remain current.

“It’s really important because a mortgage is the biggest financial investment most people will make in their lives, so they want to make sure the [broker] is knowledgeable, trained, knows the issues and the market and is able to give the consumer good advice,” Mr. Murphy says.

Since brokers such as Mr. Alexander have access to 40 lenders offering upward of 400 different products, the field has evolved in recent years to become a viable option for anybody seeking a competitive mortgage. While he works with the big five banks in Canada, he also taps into other lending institutions such as First National Financial LP and Australian based lending giant Macquarie Financial (Canada) Ltd.

When anybody walks into Mr. Alexander’s office, his job is to match your credit level — A, B, C, or D– with an appropriate lender that caters to the same type or types of customers.

What has changed in recent months, due to the economic recession, is there are fewer Dlevel lenders around, especially the U. S. banks that ventured north prior to the subprime market collapse last year.

“As a result of the U. S. subprime fallout, a lot of the Dlevel lenders have vanished,” Mr. Alexander says. “A lot of fringe clients are finding it much more difficult to get a mortgage than [it was] two years ago.”

Even some of the A-level lenders now require more documentation and verification than previously. “We’ve seen a general tightening [of credit] right across the board,” he says.

Mr. Murphy says in any kind of economy, it’s important for potential homebuyers to realize — and utilize — the new brand of mortgage professional.

Mr. Alexander agrees, but cautions people to do a little research, make sure they’re comfortable with the person across the table and ask questions. “The first thing you should do is look for someone with that AMP designation,” he says

Who’s steering the auto industry now?

GM, Chrysler get last crack at fixing business

Nicolas Van Praet and Paul Vieira, Financial Post 

After 100 years of building Corvettes and Wranglers, billions of dollars lost, and hours of committee hearings trying to explain to politicians how it all went so wrong, General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC will get one last crack at fixing the mess they find themselves in. Otherwise, a bankruptcy judge will do it for them.

The Canadian and U.S. governments Monday rejected pleas from GM and Chrysler for as much as US$32-billion in new loans to keep them alive through the worst auto industry crisis since the Great Depression, vowing instead to back the companies with temporary aid and demanding they make more drastic changes or allowing them to be pushed into bankruptcy court by June.

Canada will provide the carmakers with $4-billion in bridge loans. The United States, which has already given the companies US$17.4-billion, will fund their working capital as they scramble to meet their new deadlines for cutting costs. It will also guarantee warranties for GM and Chrysler vehicles in the United States to ease the fears of consumers shunning the companies.

“Year after year, decade after decade, we have seen problems papered-over and tough choices kicked down the road, even as foreign competitors outpaced us,” U.S. President Barack Obama said at the White House. “Well, we have reached the end of that road.”

The government cannot let the auto industry vanish, Mr. Obama said. But he said it cannot continue to excuse poor decisions.

“What we are asking is difficult. It will require hard choices by companies. It will require unions and workers who have already made painful concessions to make even more. It will require creditors to recognize that they cannot hold out for the prospect of endless government bailouts.”

GM will now have 60 days to develop a more aggressive viability plan under new management. That may include shutting more plants, further consolidating its brands, and slashing more debt. The company also has to win new agreements with unions in both Canada and the United States on lowering health care and retiree costs.

GM chairman and chief executive Rick Wagoner, who has steered the automaker to US$82-billion in losses over the past four years, was ousted. Mr. Obama said it will take “new vision and new direction” to create the GM of the future. Current chief operating officer Fritz Henderson will take over as CEO.

“We need to do more and do it faster,” Mr. Henderson told reporters yesterday.

Taxpayer support for a rescue of the Detroit manufacturers was tepid at best. Analysts said the U.S. President needed to show he was pushing for tough change at the companies. Sacrificing Mr. Wagoner, the industry’s top CEO, was a symbol that all stakeholders need to get serious about working toward a solution.

“In the end, this is less of an indictment of [Mr. Wagoner's] tenure as CEO and more about the political need for a scapegoat before unpopular loans could be offered,” said Jeremy Anwyl, chief executive of auto research firm Edmunds.com.

Chrysler’s CEO, Robert Nardelli, was not asked to step down. But the automaker is on a tighter leash. It has 30 days to finalize a partnership with Italian automaker Fiat SpA guaranteeing that Fiat build fuel-efficient cars and engines in the United States. The president’s auto task force concluded that Chrysler, whose lineup is heavily weighted towards trucks, does not have the scale or product mix necessary to compete on its own.

If the Fiat deal fails, “the most effective way for Chrysler to emerge from this restructuring with a fresh start may be by using an expedited bankruptcy process as a tool to extinguish liabilities,” the task force concluded in its report.

U.S. auto sales have fallen to levels not seen in 30 years, starving the carmakers of the revenue they need to fund their restructuring. To help drive sales, Mr. Obama said the Internal Revenue Service will launch a new program allowing some new car buyers to deduct sales and excise taxes. Washington will also consider implementing a program to pay consumers to trade in their old clunkers.

The Canadian and Ontario governments have pledged to help GM and Chrysler in order to protect Canada’s roughly 20% share of their continental assembly volume. On Monday, they committed $3-billion for GM and $1-billion for Chrysler, the same amounts as the yet-unused loans they first promised in December. A financing deal for Chrysler is to be completed Monday, and will see a $250-million tranche forwarded immediately. A pact with GM is to follow shortly, federal officials said.

“Very clearly if the money had not been forwarded today, they would not have been able to meet payroll today or tomorrow,” federal Industry Minister Tony Clement said. “We were faced with this choice of a disorderly bankruptcy where” the companies’ factories could have been “ripped up from Canadian soil.”

Like the United States, Canadian political leaders also demanded the companies come up with new credible restructuring plans that contain more fundamental change.

“As it stands, neither company is “viable going forward,” based on the business plans they have shared with Ottawa, government officials said. Canada set the same deadlines for presenting the plans as the United States.

The loans for both companies will carry an interest rate no less than 5%. Ottawa will receive an interest-bearing note in return.

The money is to be used exclusively to finance operations, and cannot be used to pay back taxes. That is an issue for the privately-held company Chrysler, which is in a $1-billion tax dispute with the Canada Revenue Agency.

Getting all stakeholders to agree to further painful cuts in such a short period of time could prove an impossible task. Mr. Obama and his closest advisors are said to favour bankruptcy as the best way out. They are working on a scenario that would let both GM and Chrysler use creditor protection to cast off the most onerous parts of their business while the good parts survive.

A committee representing GM’s bondholders, many of whom are average retail investors, said Monday the lenders were committed to finding a solution in which GM “emerges a leaner, more competitive entity.” But they have said the terms imposed on them previously – swapping two-thirds of its US$27-billion in debt for equity and new bonds – were too onerous. New terms could prove even more unacceptable.

Talks with dealers and unions are equally complex.

GM owes the United Auto Workers union US$20-billion for their retiree medical benefits. The automaker is trying to work out an agreement that would offer the union US$10-billion in cash over 20 years and $10-billion in stock. Chrysler is trying to strike a similar deal.

In Canada, getting the Canadian Auto Workers onside will prove key.

CAW President Ken Lewenza said his union will not reopen a new labour contract negotiated with GM earlier this month because wages and compensation for current CAW factory workers are competitive and don’t need to be changed. He added that he is nevertheless open to discussing retiree health care and pension and other legacy costs with the government and the company outside the bargaining process. The CAW is still looking to strike a separate labour deal with Chrysler Canada in the next few days providing the company is willing to negotiate, Mr. Lewenza said.

“I’m shocked at what’s happened in the last 24 hours,” Mr. Lewenza said. “We are pawns in a bigger drama.”

Jim Flaherty, the Finance Minister, said he hopes Mr. Lewenza understands what’s at stake. “This is very serious,” he said. “This is about saving thousands of jobs in Ontario and in Canada. We want to save those jobs.”

 Sincerely,
Dan Mass, AMP

dan@canadafirstmortgage.com

403-294-0033

 

DAN MASS, Mortgage Broker
193 McKenzie Towne Gate SE
Calgary, Alberta, Canada  T2Z 4G2
direct: 403.294.0033  toll free: 1-888-894-0033
cell:
403.710.1505 fax: 1-866-902-4910
email: dan@canadafirstmortgage.com

STACEY MASS, Mortgage Agent
193 McKenzie Towne Gate SE
Calgary, Alberta, Canada  T2Z 4G2
direct:
403.294.0033 toll free: 1-888-894-0033
fax: 1-866-902-4910
email: stacey@canadafirstmortgage.com

 
copyright dan & stacey mass, calgary mortgage brokers, Canada First Mortgage    website designed by media eye studios